Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000293 0.000328 0.000366 0.000410 0.000460 0.000515 0.000580
2025-01-05 0.000236 0.000288 0.000349 0.000428 0.000526 0.000645 0.000802
2025-01-12 0.000192 0.000249 0.000320 0.000419 0.000551 0.000725 0.000972
2025-01-19 0.000158 0.000214 0.000289 0.000398 0.000554 0.000770 0.001099
2025-01-26 0.000140 0.000198 0.000279 0.000402 0.000588 0.000860 0.001299
2025-02-02 0.000131 0.000192 0.000281 0.000421 0.000644 0.000988 0.001574
2025-02-09 0.000117 0.000177 0.000268 0.000417 0.000662 0.001058 0.001768
2025-02-16 0.000108 0.000168 0.000261 0.000421 0.000693 0.001153 0.002016
2025-02-23 0.000098 0.000157 0.000251 0.000417 0.000710 0.001225 0.002233
2025-03-02 0.000091 0.000149 0.000245 0.000419 0.000738 0.001318 0.002504
2025-03-09 0.000084 0.000141 0.000238 0.000418 0.000759 0.001401 0.002766
2025-03-16 0.000075 0.000129 0.000222 0.000399 0.000744 0.001414 0.002891
2025-03-23 0.000071 0.000123 0.000217 0.000402 0.000772 0.001518 0.003230
2025-03-30 0.000068 0.000122 0.000220 0.000418 0.000832 0.001696 0.003773
2025-04-06 0.000062 0.000114 0.000210 0.000410 0.000837 0.001762 0.004069
2025-04-13 0.000056 0.000104 0.000195 0.000389 0.000816 0.001766 0.004218
2025-04-20 0.000053 0.000100 0.000192 0.000394 0.000849 0.001895 0.004708
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000100 0.000196 0.000412 0.000916 0.002117 0.005485
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000095 0.000190 0.000408 0.000929 0.002209 0.005930
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000092 0.000188 0.000412 0.000962 0.002358 0.006568
2025-05-18 0.000043 0.000088 0.000182 0.000408 0.000976 0.002457 0.007083
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000085 0.000179 0.000410 0.001006 0.002605 0.007782
2025-06-01 0.000039 0.000082 0.000175 0.000409 0.001026 0.002729 0.008437